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Investment Talks: Brexit Muddles Through the Approaching Parliamentary Vote

Perspectives» |

January 8, 2019

The Brexit-related newsflow since the UK/EU agreement on 25 November 2018 has been quite intense. In our view, it has slightly increased the probability that the UK remains in the EU beyond March 2019, thus prolonging the uncertainty over how (and even whether) Brexit will happen. Nonetheless, our most likely scenario remains that the Brexit deadline arrives with a ratified deal (60% probability).

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